In the first six months of ’09, palladium’s value could range from $125 to $300 per ounce. The outlook for palladium is positive in some of its applications, however, a worsening economic climate and the possibility of a stronger US dollar could send palladium to as low as $125/oz during the next six months.
Palladium finally got some upside last Wednesday, when it rose 5 percent on the sentiment that the recent price slip in the metal was overdone. Prices for palladium have fallen 56 percent in the third quarter, dropped 34 percent last month alone.
Palladium prices rallied on Monday, as the weaker dollar encouraged a recovery in the commodities prices after heavy losses last week. Bargain hunting after last weeks lowest price point was hit drove spot palladium to an intraday high of $197 an ounce, more than a five percent rally.
The stock market events of Sept. 15, 2008 have impacted all commodities markets, including precious metals such as palladium and platinum. Investors are unloading commodities at a rapid pace, in an attempt to seek safer investments.
The decline in auto industry sales is having a profound effect on palladium values in the world market. Palladium and platinum are used in catalytic converters and other auto parts: the demand for the precious metals is slackening as a result of higher gas and oil prices.
Palladium futures for December delivery fell $3.60 to settle at $288.25 an ounce as dollar strengthened against the Euro. For more information, click here
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